Showing posts with label dollar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dollar. Show all posts

Monday, 2 April 2012

Markets world rally, dollar slides on the federal stimulus plan Reseve

FTSE 100 index of London, which had greatly increased in the morning, closed up to 113 points – almost 2pc - and a maximum of 28 months of 5863 and US stocks opened sharply higher.

Dow Jones in stir-fry to a maximum of two fresh years, earning more than 170 points - or 1. 5pc - 11,386 - yesterday it 0. Pink 2pc after the Fed describes his plan binding purchase larger .the S & P 500 gained 1. 3pc and technology-rich Nasdaq was increased by 1. 2pc.

US retailers reported strong sales in October and has helped to lift shares with gap until early commercial 7pc 4pc Macy.Preuve U.S. shoppers were more spending on traders assisted clothes get rid of an increase in the number of new claims for unemployment higher than expected.

Actions around the world was supported by the decision of the Federal Reserve to introduce quantitative easing most of creating more money and to increase the supply of money in the economy - which will need to buy $grant to Treasury bonds a month until next June.

"We believe QE2 will be more efficient that investors realize", Andrew Garthwaite, London head of global strategy equity Credit Switzerland wrote in a report. "Remain us overweight actions.»

Positive feelings have lifted the other major awards European and Asian .the ' Germany DAX rose 1 77pc, CAC-40 France 9pc 1 and 2 2pc, despite pressures on exporters the dollar fell below the level of yen 81.Hong Kong Hang Seng added 1 6pc and Shanghai Composite Japan Nikkei China closed until 1 9pc to a maximum of seven months of 3,086.94.

Although the prospect of more money into the financial system has been a boon for stocks, dollar tombé.Le dollar is at its lowest level since December 2009 against a broad basket of currencies and secured against this index Thursday 1pc.

Finance Ministers in emerging as China and the Brazil criticized the Fed stimulus plan and said that additional supply of dollars of investment could lead to bubble in their country.

Sterling is increased to its highest in nine months against the dollar - briefly striking $1.63 - Thursday after the Bank of England held the interest rate and unlike conserved United States its programme for the purchase of goods organize according to the economic recovery signs United Kingdom is on the right track.

The pink 1pc of euro against the dollar as investors has increased tolerance to risk on inflation and growth forecasts in the euro area after the departure of the European Central Bank reference interest rates unchanged as expected.

In London, rising stock prices was assisted by a 6 1pc miner BHP jump, partly due to the decision of the Federal Reserve and the rest the outcome of the Canada block its $remained hostile to group potash fertilizer.

Other minor grew strongly and with the rise of Natural Resources, Xstrata, Kazakhmys and Rio Tinto between 5 1pc and 6 9pc.

Good new business has also helped the man mounted 14pc sentiments.Groupe upwards classification FTSE after that most large listed company hedge funds world beats its own first half profit forecasts and announces the resumption of the assets of the client.

The firm, which saw eight straight quarters of net, said customer assets rose to $40. 5bn at the end of September. against estimates of $39. 5bn in September.

Unilever, the consumer goods group increased by 5 3pc after an optimistic statement in its ability to raise prices and to reduce the cost of commodity prices higher that it corresponded forecasts with a counter rising sales of third quarter.

"Consensus beating results continue to be favourable to the market with the authorities in fact appear to be prepared ready and able to support the economic recovery, which is good news", Henk Potts, Barclays Wealth, equity strategist said.

The rise is tempered by a 4 6pc fall at Rolls Royce after Qantas Airways flights suspended its fleet of Airbus A380 after the failure which led to an emergency landing at Singapore Rolls-Royce Trent 900 engine.


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Friday, 8 July 2011

The fall of oil prices for the second day on the release of the dollar and stocks strong

Oil price slumps for second day on strong dollar and stockpile releaseThe second day of dramatic oil prices falling following global energy watchdog decision to release an additional 60 million barrels of oil on the market.

Oil and other products has come under pressure, increase in the dollar against the euro, driven by concerns that the Parliament of the Greece cannot pass of austerity measures which will publish an international bailout.

The second day of drops drama follows the world of energy watchdog decision Thursday to release an additional 60 million barrels of oil on the market in the next month.

Relocation of the International Energy Agency to sell 2 million barrels of oil per day sparked an immediate liquidation, with oil fall $ 5 this day there. He dropped one of more than $4, or set to less than $105 a barrel Friday.

One of the effects of the release of stocks of emergency reserves was to reduce the gap between New York and London reference price oil futures. Brent crude was much more expensive than West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for months, reaching a peak of $23 above the benchmark of U.S. this month. The difference is now about $15 per barrel.

James Zhang, analyst at Standard Bank, said: "an increase in crude supplies of water origin of the United States is likely to see Brent/WTI spread narrow, and it is also likely to buffer refining margins."

"In Europe, an important part of the release of the reserve will be produced oil, given the way in which the oil reserves special is managed in Europe." As the oil product market is already fairly low in Europe, the release could lead cracks produced even lower in the short term. As a result, the gross prices would move down to the refineries to induce him to buy crude. »


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Monday, 4 July 2011

Forget the dollar and gold, here are the real refuge

Increase exposure to the liabilities and the currency of an economic distress flirting with deflation and metal with small utility and less performance resembles a strange response to extreme stress market. Facing the likelihood of increased volatility, I would rather protect with factor that all real investments have in common - a reliable income.

In the long term, the most important element of total yield investor, one is the reinvestment of income.Gains comes and goes, but the constant preparation of dividend coupons and rental income is what truly makes the différence.On can say that it is the difference between the real investment and speculation.

A curio market today is the fact that despite the rate of interest at historic lows in many countries, there is no shortage of income if you know where to look for it. I found it in three places - a you will probably be familiar with is that you probably have a few years ago and you may never have considered.

Familiar source of income is right under the nose of the investors in the United Kingdom and right across Europe - shares of blue-chip corporations. I've recently compared some larger, more reliable corporate dividend yields and was surprised to see that their actions now offer investors an income 2pc, 3pc, 5MC even more than 10 years of their own Governments links.

What Telefonica, National Grid, total, GlaxoSmithkline and telecommunications company KPN, all have in common?They give much more than the debt in the medium term of their respective Governments. In each case the gap between two revenue streams is broader than the average for the past three years, trop.Il has never been a better time to invest in high-performance shares.

This material for two raisons.Tout first, because, in an environment of low interest rates for many investors seek desperately income.If a company big, reliable, often running a utility or quasi-utility in a secure democracy, you get such a decent income, it seems rude to turn your back him these days.

Secondly, there is much evidence that invest in stocks with high performance is a proven means better performance capital secure, too.Worldwide, the top one-fifth of high dividend payers demonstrated at were inventing the market as a whole.

Another area high performance market is one that you have been rather overexposed to the financial crisis hit in 2007 and consequently may have not given much thought to – commercial property.

During the housing boom in the middle of the Decade, rising property prices pushed lower and lower yields until they offered an income value 0 8pc just over on average in Europe as the titles of the gouvernement.Quand believed that back then people had faith in Governments to pay their debts, it was a small premium to compensate the higher risk of failure today, investors earn on average 3 8pc over government bond a higher spread than at any point in the past 10 years.

As with high-efficiency actions, research income is likely to see more and more capital returns hunt these higher, which must in turn underlie des.Comme asset prices shares, too, commercial property offers investors a degree of protection against inflation moresessions four property bull markets since the second world war were guided by inflation and the only the most recent by credit expansion.

A third area in which investors could reasonably find income is as a comparison of risk and historical performance suggests perhaps the most interesting of all - new market debt best publique.Un interpreted in terms of capital since 1993 which shares, shares of emerging markets, commodities and property, emerging market debt continues to provide an income advantage paradise viewed as US Treasury bonds.

When one considers that emerging growth of market are defined surpass markets developed for years to come the last default value in this field was Argentina in 2001 and several so-called Government developed links look like they are junk status, the argument against the emergence on the market gets harder and harder to do.

Perhaps equity income, commercial property and the new market will prove to be the true refuge.

tomrstevenson@fil.com

Tom Stevenson is a Director of Fidelity Investment Managers.Les investment views expressed are his own.


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Monday, 7 March 2011

QE2 risks currency wars and the end of dollar hegemony

The Fed's "QE2" risks accelerating the demise of the dollar-based currency system, perhaps leading to an unstable tripod with the euro and yuan, or a hybrid gold standard, or a multi-metal "bancor" along lines proposed by John Maynard Keynes in the 1940s.

China's commerce ministry fired an irate broadside against Washington on Monday. "The continued and drastic US dollar depreciation recently has led countries including Japan, South Korea, and Thailand to intervene in the currency market, intensifying a 'currency war'. In the mid-term, the US dollar will continue to weaken and gaming between major currencies will escalate," it said.

David Bloom, currency chief at HSBC, said the root problem is lack of underlying demand in the global economy, leaving Western economies trapped near stalling speed. "There are no policy levers left. Countries are having to tighten fiscal policy, and interest rates are already near zero. The last resort is a weaker currency, so everybody is trying to do it," he said.

Pious words from G20 summit of finance ministers last month calling for the world to "refrain" from pursuing trade advantage through devaluation seem most honoured in the breach.

Taiwan intervened on Monday to cap the rise of its currency, while Korea's central bank chief said his country is eyeing capital controls as part of its "toolkit" to stem the flood of Fed-created money leaking out of the US and sloshing into Asia. Brazil has just imposed a 2pc tax on inflows into both bonds and equities – understandably, since the real has risen by 35pc against the dollar this year and the country has a current account deficit.

"It is becoming harder to mop up the liquidity flowing into these countries," said Neil Mellor, of the Bank of New York Mellon. "We fully expect more central banks to impose capital controls over the next couple of months. That is the world we live in," he said. Globalisation is unravelling before our eyes.

Each case is different. For the 40-odd countries pegged to the dollar or closely linked by a "dirty float", the Fed's lax policy is causing havoc. They are importing a monetary policy that is far too loose for the needs of fast-growing economies. What was intended to be an anchor of stability has become a danger.

Hong Kong's dollar peg, dating back to the 1960s, makes it almost impossible to check a wild credit boom. House prices have risen 50pc since January 2009, despite draconian curbs on mortgages. Barclays Capital said Hong Kong may switch to a yuan peg within two years.

Mr Bloom said these countries are under mounting pressure to break free from the dollar. "They are all asking themselves whether these pegs are a relic of the past," he said.

China faces a variant of the problem with its mixed currency basket, a sort of "crawling peg". Commerce minister Chen Deming said last week that US dollar issuance is "out of control". It is causing a surge of imported inflation in China.

Critics in the US Congress say China could solve that particular problem very quickly by letting the yuan rise enough to bring the country's $180bn trade surplus into balance.

They say the strategy of holding down the yuan to underpin China's export-led model is the real source of galloping wage and price inflation on China's eastern seaboard. The central bank has accumulated $2.5 trillion of foreign bonds but lacks the sophisticated instruments to "sterilise" these purchases and stem inflationary "blow-back".

But whatever the rights and wrongs of the argument, the reality is that a chorus of Chinese officials and advisers is demanding that China switch reserves into gold or forms of oil. As this anti-dollar revolt gathers momentum worldwide, the US risks losing its "exorbitant privilege" of currency hegemony – to use the term of Charles de Gaulle.

The innocent bystanders caught in the crossfire of Fed policy are poor countries such as India, where primary goods make up 60pc of the price index and food inflation is now running at 14pc. It is hard to gauge the impact of a falling dollar on commodities, but the pattern in mid-2008 was that it led to oil, metal, and grain price rises with multiple leverage. The core victims were the poorest food-importing countries in Africa and South Asia. Tell them that QE2 brings good news.

So the question that Ben Bernanke and his colleagues should ask themselves is whether they have thought through the global ramifications of their actions, and how the strategic consequences might rebound against America itself.


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Thursday, 3 March 2011

Aussie dollar breaks the buck as Australia, India fight Fed with 'quantitative tightening'

 The surging 'Aussie' captures the shift in the world's economic centre of gravity to the Pacific region. It was worth half a US dollar nine years ago. Photo: AFP

The long-awaited moment of "triple parity" seems imminent. The Swiss franc is already worth more than a greenback, and the Canadian dollar is seemingly poised to break through as well.


The surging "Aussie" - widely seen as a play on the China growth story and used by traders as a proxy for the Chinese yuan - captures the shift in the world's economic centre of gravity to the Pacific region. The currency was worth half a US dollar just nine years ago.


Australia's reserve bank said the "the economy is now subject to a large expansionary shock from the high terms of trade and has relatively modest amounts of spare capacity. The risk of inflation rising again over the medium term remains".


The move caught markets off guard. Credit growth has been cooling off over recent weeks and inflation is still just at 2.8pc - compared to 3.1pc in the UK - but the bank appears concerned about the risk of a wage spiral.


HSBC said emerging markets and commodity exporters such as Australia are opting for "quantitative tightening" to offset the liquidity effects of quantitative easing in the US, which is causing a flood of money into faster growing economies. Several states are toying with capital controls.


India's central bank has also tightened further, raising rates a quarter point to 6.25pc. It has imposed draconian housing curbs to reduce "excessive leveraging" and prick the bubble, limiting mortgages to 80pc of property values.


It may have responded with too little too late.


"Interest rates have been negative in real terms for 26 months, and heavily negative for several months," said Maya Bhandari from Lombard Street Research.


"Inflation is 9.8pc and is is going to get worse as the Fed's QE2 pushes up food prices, so a quarter point rate rise is not going to make much difference. They are relying on `administrative measures' instead of doing what they need to do," she said.


Ms Bhandari said the authorities had let rip with a "huge monetary and fiscal boost" before the elections in May 2009, leaving a legacy of overheating that is now coming back to haunt. The combined central and state budget deficit - including fuel subsidies - is nearly 11pc of GDP.


HSBC's currency team said the Australian dollar may be nearing its peak. "One concern relates to the deflating of the property bubble in China. This could happen gently but, if not, the Aussie will not avoid the fall-out. A sharp fall in Chinese property prices may very well lead to a deep examination of Australia's property bubble, and Australian banks," they wrote in a client note.


The report said Australia's lenders rely heavily on funding from abroad to finance the country's internal boom, creating a risky mismatch in liabilities. "Rationally or irrationally, this could turn very sour. The Aussie party looks set to come to an end soon," it said.


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Tuesday, 1 March 2011

Dollar plummets on report that EDF 500bn provides $ more in the economy of the pump

The dollar fell across the board on Wednesday amid signs the Federal Reserve will pump $500billion into the economy over the next six months.The dollar fell throughout Wednesday in the middle of the signs, that the Federal Reserve will pump $500billion in the economy over the next six months. Photo: Getty Images

Beige Book survey the Fed on business regional Wednesday said the u.s. economy expanded at a "modest pace" with little sign of acceleration last month, fueling speculation that the Governors of central banks may take additional measures to support growth.

Jack Ablin, placement head to Chicago-based Harris Private Bank told Bloomberg: "the beige book reiterates call for relief quantitative.La economic growth, is simply not accelerating."It remains to be seen what finally Fed purchase obligations will be.»

A report undertaken consultation Medley Global Advisors suggested that the Fed could start with the stimulus as early as next month, costs $ per month on the binding of achats.On knows that the u.s. Federal Reserve has a commitment to do more in the next 18 months.

The dollar plummeted to its lowest level against the euro since July and a minimum of 15 years against the yen.The euro has increased by 1. 06pc to $1.395 and the dollar ended at 81.05 yen.

Camilla Sutton, Scotia capital, currency strategist says Reuters: "we believe that the dollar ends lower year, but for the moment, we will no doubt be a period of negotiation over until we have a firmer idea where makers have in their heads."

In the meantime stocks and commodity recovered after the average China surprise mardi.La interest rates increase industrial Dow Jones rose 129.35 points, or 1. 18pc 11, standard 107.97.Le and Poor 500 index has been 11.78 points, or 1. 05pc 1,178.17, with more than 20 companies scheduled to report third quarter earnings today.Nasdaq Composite index rose points 20.44, or 0 84pc, 2,457.39.

Large companies, driving change market included Boeing Company, whose shares have increased 3 35pc after displaying a quarterly profit that beat expectations Wall Street.Delta Air lines and Airways Group have also reported strong profits.

Portal Yahoo! trooping 2pc after the announcement late Tuesday, the net income for the third quarter has more than doubled $396.1 m, or 29 cents per share.

Wells Fargo, the biggest U.S. home lender climbed 4 28pc after saying it was "eager" returning cash to shareholders after a record quarterly profit.

Lawrence Creatura, a Federated Investors Inc., New York-based Fund Manager said Bloomberg: "we have a variety of reports that indicate that the sky is not tomber.Hier company gains was a dark day for the market because of macro factors today it will be business tower management teams lead once more how."


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Wednesday, 19 January 2011

Dollar plummets on report that EDF 500bn provides $ more in the economy of the pump

The dollar fell across the board on Wednesday amid signs the Federal Reserve will pump $500billion into the economy over the next six months.The dollar fell throughout Wednesday in the middle of the signs, that the Federal Reserve will pump $500billion in the economy over the next six months. Photo: Getty Images

Beige Book survey the Fed on business regional Wednesday said the u.s. economy expanded at a "modest pace" with little sign of acceleration last month, fueling speculation that the Governors of central banks may take additional measures to support growth.

Jack Ablin, placement head to Chicago-based Harris Private Bank told Bloomberg: "the beige book reiterates call for relief quantitative.La economic growth, is simply not accelerating."It remains to be seen what finally Fed purchase obligations will be.»

A report undertaken consultation Medley Global Advisors suggested that the Fed could start with the stimulus as early as next month, costs $ per month on the binding of achats.On knows that the u.s. Federal Reserve has a commitment to do more in the next 18 months.

The dollar plummeted to its lowest level against the euro since July and a minimum of 15 years against the yen.The euro has increased by 1. 06pc to $1.395 and the dollar ended at 81.05 yen.

Camilla Sutton, Scotia capital, currency strategist says Reuters: "we believe that the dollar ends lower year, but for the moment, we will no doubt be a period of negotiation over until we have a firmer idea where makers have in their heads."

In the meantime stocks and commodity recovered after the average China surprise mardi.La interest rates increase industrial Dow Jones rose 129.35 points, or 1. 18pc 11, standard 107.97.Le and Poor 500 index has been 11.78 points, or 1. 05pc 1,178.17, with more than 20 companies scheduled to report third quarter earnings today.Nasdaq Composite index rose points 20.44, or 0 84pc, 2,457.39.

Large companies, driving change market included Boeing Company, whose shares have increased 3 35pc after displaying a quarterly profit that beat expectations Wall Street.Delta Air lines and Airways Group have also reported strong profits.

Portal Yahoo! trooping 2pc after the announcement late Tuesday, the net income for the third quarter has more than doubled $396.1 m, or 29 cents per share.

Wells Fargo, the biggest U.S. home lender climbed 4 28pc after saying it was "eager" returning cash to shareholders after a record quarterly profit.

Lawrence Creatura, a Federated Investors Inc., New York-based Fund Manager said Bloomberg: "we have a variety of reports that indicate that the sky is not tomber.Hier company gains was a dark day for the market because of macro factors today it will be business tower management teams lead once more how."


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Wednesday, 3 November 2010

Australian dollar hits 27-year-high

This afternoon the dollar hit 98.74 US cents, the highest level since January 1983, when the currency was first floated and valued at 97.65 US cents.

At the local 5pm close, the Australian dollar was trading at 98.36 US cents. It was also buying 70.7 euro cents, 62 pence and 81.6 yen.

The dollar was strengthened by monthly government figures that showed the unemployment rate steady at a low 5.1 per cent in September, with 49,500 new jobs created in that month, well ahead of forecasts.

Most of the new jobs were reported to have been created in the booming domestic mining industry.

The value of the dollar rose by 8.3pc against the greenback in the past month as speculation that the US Federal Reserve would expand its economic stimulus programme.

Analysts in Australia now expect the dollar to reach parity with the US dollar in the next few months.

Craig James, an economist at CommSec, told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation that the Australian dollar had benefited from a strong local jobs market and the prospect that the Reserve Bank would raise interest rates in October.

He said that consumers, motorists and Australians travelling on overseas holidays would benefit from the strong dollar, but that the local tourism market and exporters would suffer.

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Wednesday, 13 October 2010

Australian dollar hits 27-year-high

This afternoon the dollar hit 98.74 US cents, the highest level since January 1983, when the currency was first floated and valued at 97.65 US cents.

At the local 5pm close, the Australian dollar was trading at 98.36 US cents. It was also buying 70.7 euro cents, 62 pence and 81.6 yen.

The dollar was strengthened by monthly government figures that showed the unemployment rate steady at a low 5.1 per cent in September, with 49,500 new jobs created in that month, well ahead of forecasts.

Most of the new jobs were reported to have been created in the booming domestic mining industry.

The value of the dollar rose by 8.3pc against the greenback in the past month as speculation that the US Federal Reserve would expand its economic stimulus programme.

Analysts in Australia now expect the dollar to reach parity with the US dollar in the next few months.

Craig James, an economist at CommSec, told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation that the Australian dollar had benefited from a strong local jobs market and the prospect that the Reserve Bank would raise interest rates in October.

He said that consumers, motorists and Australians travelling on overseas holidays would benefit from the strong dollar, but that the local tourism market and exporters would suffer.

Get free guidance when sending money abroad with Telegraph International Money Transfers


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