Showing posts with label economic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economic. Show all posts

Friday, 9 March 2012

Spanish revolt brews as national economic rearmament begins in Europe

"We have reached the point where `taxes kill taxation'. The therapy is turning fatal and is starting to take on a highly political tone. Sixty years after the end of the war, Germany is again coming to be seen as an overbearing enemy, and an atmosphere of hostility is building up in a Continent divided between a rich and flourishing North and a South in danger of being reduced to a protectorate. If we carry on like this we are going to destroy the European project," he said.

The popular pressure gauge has been rising for months but the mass protests of the last two weeks have had a new and sharper edge -- even if you disregard the outbreak of violent street clashes with police in Valencia, already dubbed the "Valencia Spring".

A report last week by the Caritas wing of the Catholic Church warned that "there are more poor people than last year, and they are poorer. After four years of hardship, poverty is more widespread, more intense, and more chronic" than at any time in recent memory, with a gap between rich and poor that "threatens to polarize society". The poverty rate has risen to 21.8pc (38pc in Extremadura), the third worst in the EU after Romania and Latvia.

While the Greeks may or may not put up with ever-escalating EU demands -- most recently talk of parachuting 160 German tax collectors into the country -- any such treatment of Spain would set off the sort of `levantamiento' faced by Buonaparte in 1808, and the scale of damage to the European banking system would be catastrophic even for Germany.

The Spanish have good reason to feel maligned by North Europe's self-serving narrative of the EMU crisis. They never violated the Maastricht debt rules. They ran a budget surplus of 2pc of GDP during the boom.

Private credit spiralled out of control in part because the European Central Bank missed its inflation target every month for almost nine years and gunned the eurozone M3 money supply at double the bank's own target rate to help Germany, then in trouble.

Such a loose policy was toxic for an Iberian tiger economy, flooded with North European capital that it could not keep out under EU rules. Rates were minus 2pc in real terms for year after year, washing over the heroic efforts by the Bank of Spain to contain the damage.

Mr Rajoy has discretely requested a relaxation of the budget target to 5pc, pointing out `a la Grecque' that he inherited an even bigger shambles than feared.

Europe's answer has so far been iron inflexibility. “Backtracking on fiscal targets would elicit an immediate reaction by the market,” said ECB chief Mario Draghi -- a fiscal German, though a monetary Latin.

The Spanish must be sorely tempted to hurl sand back in the face of the ECB since the unforced errors of Frankfurt itself were the chief reason why the economies of Spain, Italy, and the rest of southern Europe buckled violently late last year.

The Trichet-Stark rate rises last year to “counter” the deflationary oil shock of the Arab Spring were as crass as it gets in central banking. Almost all prevailing scholarship warns against such a reflex. The rate rises compounded the fiscal squeeze already under way in the Latin bloc and led directly -- and inevitably -- to the collapse of the money supply in five or six countries.

By the end of 2011 all key measures of the money supply were contracting in the Euro zone as a whole. Hence an entirely avoidable Euroland recession. Hence the two-year economic slump now predicted by the IMF for Spain and Italy. Hence too an expected rise in Italy's debt/GDP ratio by seven points to 127pc by next year, and Spain's by eleven points, such is sensitivity of debt trajectories to growth rates.

Europe now faces another energy mini-shock as Iran pushes Brent crude to an all time-high in euros, tantamount to a €200bn tax on EMU consumers. Let us hope sense prevails this time.

Mr Draghi has done what he can to contain the damage from last year's tightening. His blast of unlimited three-year credit to banks at 1pc has averted a credit crunch as lenders frantically deleverage to cope with the EU's ill-judged pro-cyclical demand for 9pc core Tier 1 capital ratios by June.

But the Draghi Bazooka is a very blunt form of quantitative easing and contains the seeds of its own failure since it is leading to structural subordination of unsecured creditors and a concentration of systemic risk as the weakest banks load on the sovereign debt of the weakest states. Once again, the ECB is tying itself in knots -- and engaging in legal tricks to circumvent the Lisbon Treaty -- because Germany will not let it carry out plain-vanilla transparent QE that is perfectly legal and arguably necessary to keep nominal GDP growth on an even keel.

Ultimately, politics will decide the matter, and Mr Rajoy is not alone in Europe. He has a champion in Italy's Mario Monti, de facto leader of the Latin bloc and increasingly the man in whom the US, Japan, the IMF, and the rest of the world, are investing their hopes. As Mr Borrell put it, he is the only European statesmen with enough credibility to confront Angela Merkel "face to face".

Mr Monti's joint letter with twelve EU states last week calling for an end to self-defeating contraction marks a key moment in this crisis. If Francois Hollande is elected French president in May, the shift in Europe's balance of power will be complete. Germany will lose its stifling grip on EU policy machinery. The EMU bloc will start to tilt towards reflation at long last.

Whether it can come soon enough to avert a social explosion across Europe's arc of depression remains to be seen. Nor can such stimulus overcome the fundamental flaws of EMU since Germany is at an entirely place in the deform structure, with unemployment at 20-year lows of 5.5pc.

What is needed to save the South must endanger the North. Germany would overheat, pushing its inflation to 4pc or 5pc until Bild Zeitung erupts in Teutonic fury. It is impossible to reconcile the conflicting imperatives.

My guess is that Germany's refusal to countenance any form of EU subsidies, debt-pooling, or fiscal union -- other than policing the budgets of captive states -- has definitively broken the EMU spell. Latin nations by increasingly regard talk euro of solidarity as humbug. It has been a nasty shock. The era of national economic rearmament in Europe has begun.


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Friday, 2 March 2012

Profit warnings leap as economic uncertainty takes its toll

Analysis by Ernst & Young revealed a 70pc leap in the number of profit warnings, from 51 in the third quarter to 88 in the final quarter, marking the biggest jump in a decade. During the year as a whole, there were 278 profit warnings, compared to 196 the previous year.

Warnings in the quarter from the likes of retailer Mothercare and Premier Foods, the maker of Mr Kipling cakes, pushed the proportion of listed companies who put out warnings in 2011 up to 14pc, the highest since the financial crisis first started in 2008.

As cash-strapped customers curbed their spending, retail was the worst-hit sector, with 39 profit warnings issued last year, more than the whole of 2009 and 2010 combined.

But Alan Hudson, head of Ernst & Young’s UK restructuring practice, said that although consumer-facing sectors had been hit hard by the sharp fall in disposable income, there were still successful companies across these sector that were performing well.

“Shoppers are still willing to splash out on items or experiences that they value, but the pressure on consumers’ coffers means if they are spending more to create winners in one area, there will inevitably be losers in others,” he added.

Although the high street’s travails have grabbed headlines, the pain is also being felt across many other sectors. Last year, the software and computer services sector issued 31 warnings, the highest number since 2008, with a fifth of the sector cautioning on profit during the course of 2011.

“Both are highly reliant on the vagaries of spending in their end markets - primarily business and the public sector – and both are therefore highly sensitive to rising levels of uncertainty or falling levels of activity in the broader economy,” said Mr Hudson.

“This sensitivity can make both industries useful bellwethers and the sharp rise in profit warnings in both sectors at the end of 2011 was certainly indicative of a changing economic outlook.”

He added that the sharp rise in warnings across all sectors demonstrated that 2011 was a tough year for companies and that the new year was likely to continue in the same vein with the gap between the winners and losers widening.

“Many businesses are still expanding profitably, but others – the zombie companies – remain moribund by debt or defunct business models, unable to build value or gain momentum in these challenging economic conditions,” he added.

Profit warnings in the first weeks of the new year have come primarily from companies vulnerable to contract and order cancellations, as customers wait for more economic certainty before committing to further significant outlays, said Mr Hudson

“Companies in industrial, IT and support services sectors have proved vulnerable to contract delays in the past and further profit warnings are likely from these sectors until the political and economic outlook stabilises,” he added.


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Friday, 16 December 2011

Retailers retirement after the shock of economic data

However, a sign that the application of luxury leather handbags seems immune to any concern of relapse, Burberry advanced 33 p £ 10.63 to claim the gold medal.

But stocks of consumers such as Unilever, which makes the Hellmann mayonnaise and Sunsilk shampoo, under pressure, falling from 50 p to £ 18.70.

On the second level, its small peer pz cussons, took the wooden spoon as investors concerned about difficult business conditions of business. PZ Cussons, making SOAP, Imperial Leather said he remained "prudent given continuous trading conditions difficult and rising prices of raw materials", but added that his prospects for the year was largely in accordance with the expectations of the market. Nevertheless, he slipped 26.6 percent 352.6.

Shore Capital analysts cut their rating from "hold" to "buy", saying it was time to make a "pause for breath. Although they remain "convinced" on the long term prospects of PZ Cussons, with strong market positions in countries such as Nigeria, which downgraded their recommendation to reflect "uncertainties ahead."

With retailers on the decline and other stocks more risky like banks and miners also favour, benchmark slipped into the red. The FTSE 100 lost 26.14 at 5917.71 points and the FTSE 250 throw 71.84 points to 11501.6.

Among sharpest fallers were minors heavyweight with Kazakhmys falling 58 p to £ 15.00, while the resources Randgold relaxed £ 48,55 180 p. Lloyds banking Group fell by 1.9 percent 63.15.

Down, was also International consolidated airlines Group (ICAG), catchy title for the combined British Airways and Iberia. He slipped 10 to 275 p, in spite of Citigroup and Nomura initiate coverage with a "buy" rating Reflecting the Anglo-hispanique spirit of fusion, Andrew Light, analyst at Citigroup, called his "Un nuevo comienzo - A New Beginning".

He undertook six main reasons to be positive for the combination of BA and Iberia, including an awaited recovery in premium traffic after three years of decline in BA and an expected decrease in airline pension deficit.

Nomura was also on the rise on the prospects for the ICAG, saying that it will be a dominant carrier routes Atlantic with number one of the market on both roads north and Latin America.

But earlier in the week, Liberum Capital analysts were less sanguine. They had slapped a ranking "sell" the carrier, pointing to an increase in the price of fuel with a wind up in stock.

With investors more cautious atmosphere, they opt for the industrial and engineering stocks, with Johnson matthey and IMI advancing 19 p £ 19.50 and 8½ to 885½p, respectively.

Another advance was resolution, as the vehicle for insurance announced a reshuffling at the top of his Friends Provident arm. Trevor Matthews is quitting as head of division, because he intends to return to his native Australia, en route to industry veteran Andy Briggs.

But the company said that it did not reflect a change in its strategy. Resolution reached 7.7 253 p.

Join the resolution in the ranking was Diageo. Giving to the author of the gin Gordon, an elevator, were positive notes of Nomura and Morgan Stanley, as well as signs of a recovery in the US spirits market.

Analysts at morganstanley kept its "overweight" rating on Diageo and plus his target price to £ 14.00 from £ 13.00. The broker said that Diageo should benefit from reduction of updating the approach of Christmas, as well as growth in Africa and Latin America. Diageo reaches 20% £ 12,41.

Among the second liners, Telecity data centre provider led charge, skipping 21.2 454,2 percent.

Bouncing back from Basinger Monday, it was Street. Printer banknote plunged earlier this week after French suitor, Oberthur Technologies, said he had travelled far bid for De La Rue, after a higher offer did not try the troubled partnership talks.

But De La Rue ticked up to 25 to 720 p yesterday, despite a downgrading of Panmure Gordon. Analyst Paul Jones, in the absence of any interest to bid, was cut to "sell", its rating "Hold'em" and reduced his price target to 566 p 800 p.

Staging of a resume, too, was hikma Pharmaceuticals. Having abandoned back earlier in the week after the announcement of an overhaul of the Commission, the pharmaceutical company focused on the Jordan won 13 875 p plus Jefferies his price target to 10.00 £ 890%.

Analysts suggest that M & A could add additional value. "After the 112 m $ (71 million from £) acquisition of Baxter, we believe that Hikma still has [nearly] firepower of 250 m $ to be used for acquisitions,"said broker."."

Slipping back, however, was Ocado. After having rallied more 21pc since the beginning of the year, online grocery retailer is fell to 11-228 p. market observers have been scratching his head about the reasons for the rise of Ocado, with an offer of Morrisons or Asda being mentioned as a possibility.

But Nick Bubb, Arden Partners, an analyst has given this theory-abused, saying: "in some respects, it would be wiser to Waitrose itself buy with Ocado, but it is difficult to reconcile with the sell at the bottom of shareholding of John Lewis's time."

"We suspect that the real answer is that an American stakebuilder is at work, though if it is an institutional fund or a company online giant with tons of cash remains to be seen", he added.


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Friday, 29 July 2011

Week ahead: economic events, the results of the company from 18 to 22 July

Results of the year: CSF

Interim results: Angel biotechnology, SThree

Trading Update: No announcement

Economics: No announcement

Meetings: Big yellow (AGA), icon (AGM)

• Greater Britain listed real estate company that Land Securities will update the market with investors looking for progress on contracts for the lease to its Office in London and Leeds Trinity shopping centre developments.

Land Securities does not provide a update on assessments in its first and third quarter statements but Francis Salway, Director Executive, will provide insight into key to the health of the retail market for Britain and the confidence of consumers in view of the broad centre commercial portfolio. The presentation will focus on the three months to March 31.

Results of the year: IG, Sceptre Leisure Group

Interim results: No announcement

Trading Update: Intermediate Capital Group, Land Securities

Economics: No announcement

Meetings: Dairy Crest (AGA), Ffastfill (AGA), intermediate Capital Group (AGA), JP Morgan European Investment Trust (AGA), Johnson Matthey (AGA), perpetual income and growth investment (AGM)

• The water companies were in vogue approach of Northumbria founded an investor from Hong Kong water.

These actions are usually held as a dividend, so investors will want to know everything is going well with the generation of cash of the company. The potential yield is 5MC.

Results of the year: AEA Technology

Interim results: Aberforth smaller companies Trust, International personal finance

Trading Update: BTG, London Stock Exchange, Yell Group, icon

Economics: Minutes of the Bank of England MPC, summary of the officers of the Bank of trade conditions

Meetings: B P Marsh and partners (AGA), BTG (AGA), Experian (AGA), Irish Life & Permanent (EGM), put (AGA), London Stock Exchange (AGA), Trent Severn (AGM)

• Quiet, is that many investors for as updates of Mitchell & Butlers (M & B) on trade.

Last week, the Group lost pubs its third President in 18 months, the last change on the M & B carousel.

Trading is probably remained in good health, but it will be business issues on the agenda with news of the search for a new Chief Executive, President and the eventual resumption of all dividends urgently requested.

Plan • having unveiled its turnaround from three years in may, Tim Cobbold to the CEO of the De La Rue will update the market on the progress made at the beginning. The jury is still decided on its chances of success, although analysts have welcomed the intention to reduce costs and improve government procurement.

Shareholders will be interested to hear of the street is to earn enough orders in the business of currency in what will be an important second half of the year, while they will also search for a rise of fortune for the division of tickets where volumes were disappointed.

Results of the year: The Eredene capital

Interim results: Capita, Howden joinery

Trading Update: Britvic, Dragon oil, Great Portland Estates, Hilton food, Kingfisher, Lonmin, Mitchell & Butlers, Petropavlovsk, SABMiller

Economics: Public sector of UK borrowing figures, the retail sales, quarterly trends in Bank of England loan report

Meetings: Caledonia Investments (AGA), Cable & Wireless worldwide (AGA), of the street (AGA), Land Securities (AGA), McKay Securities (AGA), Scottish & Southern Energy (AGA), Wincanton (AGA), Yell Group (AGA)

• United Utilities, the utilities of North West company focused, should display a 3pc earnings growth this year, investors would like to hear if everything is on track to updating by the commercial direction at its General Assembly annual. The actions are producing a 5 5pc

Results of the year: No announcement

Interim results: Beazley

Trading Update: Close Brothers, United Utilities, Vodafone

Economics: European Finance Ministers meeting on the budget of the EU, White House Date deadline to reach agreement on the US debt ceiling, publication of the note by the Bank of England/CEPR Monetary Policy Roundtable since the June meeting

Meetings: Edinburgh Investment Trust (AGA), KCom (AGA), Regal Petroleum (AGA), strategic natural resources (AGA), United Utilities (AGA), Vectura (AGM) XAVIER Rolet and its Board of Directors will be to the shareholders of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) in a few weeks only Wednesday after the company had its merger controversial MD £ 4 with TMX Group of Canada of scrap.


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Thursday, 7 July 2011

The power of the people takes the economic scene, for better or for worse

Second, it is an early salute in Barack Obama re-election campaign. The time, like the United States early in the season (with gas 90 c a gallon more expensive than last year) of conduct is not a coincidence.

But the extent of the initial fall in the price of oil have shown the risk of suggesting to the markets that you may know something that they do not.

After a week in which the prospects for growth are are seen once again in most large economies, the move displayed more than a hint of desperation on the battle to resume growth.

The brazen Act of political positioning last week was supported by Nick Clegg an idea frankly ludicrous to distribute shares in banks nationalized all citizens.

The populist logic is obvious. We have in large part banks, then why not formalizes the situation with a stock certificate. Unfortunately, common sense stop there.

First of all, it would be impractical, requiring the holdings of each Government so that, assuming that the shares never rise above the price at which the Government has taken his game, a State may reimburse until each of us keeps the difference.

The amounts involved are likely to be low, so the political gain would be insignificant and the enthusiasm of the banks to communicate with millions of shareholders again and largely disengaged would be limited.

During this time, the cost of administration of the plan would be bad value for precisely the people receiving the actions in their guise as taxpayers. Talk about robbing Peter to pay Paul.

In addition, it is implausible to think that such a regime would be more successful than the privatizations of Margaret Thatcher in forging a democracy with the shareholder. Psst, Don ' t bother saying Sid. He has lost interest last time and this is his attempt to be.

Moreover, the power of the people is to have a more direct influence on Arab markets for investment, with spring and, more recently, the demonstrations in the streets of Athens.

A Greek default would be certainly inevitable without the explosion of outrage because the chronic lack of competitiveness means that there is no hope of growth never get out of the abyss. But the refusal of the people to suffer in silence means that the attempt would be made.

Perhaps the most irresistible popular movement, however, is the desire of the Chinese people to maintain the rate of growth which resulted in millions of them out of poverty in the past 30 years. The fears of the Government for social stability if this growth rate slows means that 8pc annual salary increases will remain the standard for years to come.

The power of the people means disinflation China's influence is historical.

Tom Stevenson is a Director of Fidelity International investment. The views expressed are his own.

tomrstevenson@fil.com
Twitter: @ tomstevenson63


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Tuesday, 7 June 2011

The report of the week: economic data UK, society results - December 13-17 December

The chain has already said that UK like-for-like sales fell by 5 8pc.

Observers will be interested to hear if there are signs of a recovery of the economy of consumption.

Regardless of market conditions, Plasmon is well placed for when things finally pick up, analysts.

Verdict Research considers the Plasmon market share increased by two percentage points from last year's autour and continues to grow in the United Kingdom.

This is largely due to declining to compete with carpets last year.

This means Plasmon will appreciate a reminder again already when things are improving.

Throughout the year results

No announcement

Interim results

Polar capital Technology Trust

Bargaining update

No announcement

Economy

The Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin

Meetings

Trust of personal belongings (EGM), Schroder (AGM) income growth fund

Þ Travis Perkins, merchant builders and DIY, retailer will update the recent commercial market. The company recently said that on the first nine months of 2010 the total turnover in its "international trading" division has increased 7 8pc with like-for-like sales by business day 7 1pc. Wickes group chain has struggled, however.

Þ Imagination Technologies, the designer graphics chipsets for artists such as Apple, will unveil its interim results. Numis, analysts said Friday that they expected income up 24pc £ 47. 4 m, compared to the same period last year.

Said broker was attracted by the imagination of positioning and prospects technology but with 76pc stock last year, has added much value has been price.

Throughout the year results

Domino Printing Sciences, Electronics, Interbulk, Renovo Datong

Interim results

Plasmon, Imagination Technologies, Scott Wilson

Bargaining update

Approved DRAX, Travis Perkins, Whitbread

Economy

Digit inflation, RICS house price survey

Meetings

Agriterra (AGM), SMR tenon (AGM), Tottenham Hotspur (AGM)

Þ supergroup, owner of the label Superdry trendy, will report its interim results. Last month, chain, whose actions have propelled as it floated in March, said that the rate of total sales increased almost 70pc during the three months to the end of October. A large portion of those sales came from new store openings.

Throughout the year results

No announcement

Interim results

SuperGroup

Bargaining update

Senior, WSP

Economy

Of unemployment, CBI distributive trades survey

Meetings

Artilium (AGM), BowLeven (AGM)

Þ Sports Direct, the retailer owned by Mike Ashley, sweats, contractor will report its interim results. In October the retailer said that total sales for 9 to September 26 weeks are up to by 5 4pc 295 m £ while the gross profit rose by 5 4pc 117 million to £. At that time, the company said that its interim results "significantly above" are the corresponding period last year.

Þ John Wood Group, Aberdeen oil and gas services company base will update on 2010 trade this week. The consensus forecast of analysts is a fall 35pc revenues £ 3 16bn this year and a decline in profits before taxes of 265 million of £ 183 m £.

Falls are due to the oil and gas companies retains on projects in the last 18 months. However, in October, the company said seeing an improvement in performance with a growth in the Gulf of Mexico, Africa and Australia.

Throughout the year results

Pupa

Interim results

Cohort, sports direct international

Bargaining update

John Wood

Economy

Figures for retail, the Bank of England/GfK NOP inflation attitudes survey

Meetings

AXA property trust (AGM), British goods (AGM), British Empire Securities & General Trust (AGM)

Þ Aggreko temporary power provider for events such as the World Cup and

Competition Eurovision Song, was forecast profit sparky for year-round commercial update in October. He had a 30pc to increase sales of third quarter and stated that the final results must beat the previous forecasts. This year, the share price increased by almost new 90pc relentlessly optimistic. It raised its dividend of first half by 50pc was planning to increase the payment of the year by the same amount.

Analysts said Friday Panmure: "we are fans of Aggreko, but current levels believe much good news is already in the price and we remember that there are still areas of weakness in among the permanent force of the order book and a number of one-positive spin-offs in the current year." A heady rating remains a premium on the market, a reflection component may not be a bad thing. »

Throughout the year results

Invista European real estate

Interim results

No announcement

Bargaining update

Aggreko, National Express, Petrofac, punch taverns

Economy

Report of the Bank of England financial stability.

Meetings

Brit Insurance (EGM), punch taverns (AGM), Sportingbet (AGM)

Stuck at an annual rate of 3 2pc November inflation, the latest figures are supposed to show. Consumer price index (CPI), the official measure edged at this level, October, September 3 1pc low.

The Bank of England expected inflation to rise again away from its target hit 2pc 3 5pc rate in the first half of next year, but think capacity reserve in the economy will curb price rises in the long term.

Retail sales figures reveals how high street if in November, with Howard Archer, an economist at IHS insight, forecast sales rose "reasonable but spectacular" 0 4pc-on-month.

He warned that recent snow may mean that people buy less Gifts Christmas because of time constraints. "It is absolutely essential for retailers that the next two weekends see weather conditions do not prevent or discourage consumers is in.


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The strong economic growth China or 10 3pc markets ghosts

Chinese customers, selection of jewelry in a store of gold in Beijing. The economy is growing at the fastest rate since the beginning of the financial crisis. Photo: Getty

Data was President Hu Jintao to pressure visited us loosening controls on currency to yuan, which U.S. critics say is too little value, giving China an unfair advantage.


Gross domestic product increased by 9 8pc in Q4, accelerating from the previous quarter and analysts expectations exceeding, cementing position China as world's second largest economy.


Whereas the increase in consumption in December has facilitated the previous month, it remained stubbornly high at 4 FP6 despite efforts by Beijing to control prices, spooking the area investors who fear more clamping action.


Shanghai Stock Exchange fell by 3.. 29pc, Hong Kong fell 1. FP7, Tokyo closed 1. 13pc and Sydney lost 1pc. Open European market lower with the FTSE 100 in London sliding 0 8pc.


Analysts said the resumption of growth in the fourth quarter - partly driven by stronger exports - and inflation higher still in December supports the case for further increases in rates of interest and bank loans of borders.


"Makers step will claim a great victory in the fall of the CPI inflation below five percent in December," says Lu Ting, an economist at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch.


2010 GDP figure, place a revised 9 2pc growth in 2009 and better 10pc forecast by the World Bank, China highlight growing could in a year, when other major economies is left in the pot black.


"The economy is currently in a critical period transform recovery for stable growth," Ma Jiantang, Commissioner of the National Bureau of statistics, has told reporters.


Mr. Ma said China would boost efforts to transform its ' growing economic pattern "-echoing comments Wednesday in Washington by President Hu, who undertook to stimulate domestic demand and spending.


Price index for consumption in the country, the primary gauge of inflation, rose 3 3pc pour L'ensemble de 2010 - the Government target maximum year-round 3pc skyrocketing food prices.


The December figure was slightly better 1pc 5 increase in November, which was the fastest pace in more than two years.


In 2011, we must take the task of controlling prices very seriously,"Mr. Ma said, but added:"We have every confidence that we will be successful in 2011".


Analysts said the Government was faced with a difficult task.


"Pricing pressures remain poorly high in the coming months, and the dip in the overall CPI December inflation will likely temporary, said Brian Jackson, an analyst with the Royal Bank of the Canada."


IHS Global Insight analyst Alistair Thornton, "a new wave of credit expansion is driven inflationary pressures, both consumption and prices of asset markets with a re-acceleration in construction and investment fixed.


Exit the country millions workshops and factories rose 15 FP7 pour L'ensemble de 2010 as spending on infrastructures in urban areas of the 24 5pc Government has increased to 12 months.


Retail sales increased by 18 4pc in 2010.


As the United States and Europe struggle to stimulate growth, Beijing has been trying to slow its economy and stem of a flood of liquidity is fanning inflation and the conduct of real estate prices straining household budget.


The Central Bank new last Friday ordered banks to increase the amount of money they keep in reserve, actually put a ceiling on loans after the increase in interest rates twice in the fourth quarter.


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$700 Billion Bailout: The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act and What It Means to You, Your Money, Your Mortgage and Your Taxes

$700 Billion Bailout: The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act and What It Means to You, Your Money, Your Mortgage and Your TaxesThe book is an analysis of the controversial Emergency Economic Stabilization Act and explains in easy to understand language what the bailout bill means for individuals. $700 Billion Bailout answers questions such as:
  • What does the bill say, exactly?
  • Who is making decisions about how the $700 billion will be spent, and what does it mean now that the government is investing directly in our banks?
  • Who’s footing the bill?
  • What is the impact on homeowners, businesses, retirement, and taxes?
  • Where do I put my money in the meantime?

Veteran reporter Paul Muolo shows both the challenges and opportunities of the credit crisis and proposed bailout, including its impact on:

  • Mortgages: While rates may be lower, there will be more fees imposed on mortgages. Lenders will be far more cautious in lending, and people who cannot meet their mortgages are likely to lose these homes. This may create a “contrarian” plays in foreclosures and vacation homes..
  • Stocks and Other Investments: Is now the time to get into the stock market or is it safer to stick with CDs, bonds, and gold?
  • Taxes: With the tax breaks, there will be less tax revenue leading to a huge shortfall to the government over the next few years.

He will offer insight into these areas and many others, including how the structure of the bailout bill allows for unprecedented authority that has altered the financial landscape, perhaps permanently.   Will the plan work, and how we can prevent this from happening again remains to be seen, but with $700 Billion Bailout Paul Muolo gives us a critical tool for deciphering perhaps the most sweeping piece of legislation since the Patriot Act.

Price: $14.95


Click here to buy from Amazon


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Tuesday, 31 May 2011

The week ahead: economic data UK company results - February 14, 2011 to February 18, 2011

Full-year results

Dialight, Fidessa, SVG Capital

Interim results

No announcement

Bargaining update

No announcement

Economy

Trade balance China's answer to European Ministers of finance

Meetings

F. c. & Commercial Property Trust (EGM), Hirco (AGM)

• Intercontinental Hotels will present results of 2010. Analysts are forecasting owner of Holiday Inn and Crowne Plaza brands will report to the benefit of 424 m $ (265 million to £) of operation and $452 m, an increase of 363 m $ in 2009. The company was due to complete redesign of $ Holiday Inn billion at the end of 2010, and analysts will research to see if the move was successful in increasing revenue per available room, either RCD 3pc and FP7 to 3,000 reworked hotels.

• Premier Foods is full-year results report. Analysts expect the author of Mr. Kipling cake and Ambrosia custard benefit pre-tax profits of £ 154. 3 m and sales of £ 2 62bn. That compares with profit of £ 46. 7 m last year and sales of £ 2 66bn.

Full-year results

Barclays, Domino Pizza, electric Word, InterContinental Hotels, the Premier Foods, Quarto

Interim results

Albemarle & Bond

Bargaining update

British land, Innospec, Micro Focus International, Pennant, yell

Economy

January, worker productivity data inflation figures

Meetings

No announcement

• BHP Billiton should display the record first half profit boosted by higher prices of raw materials. Consensus forecasts are for attributable profit of $10 MD $ 5. 7bn last year. After the collapse of hostile offer for PotashCorp group at the end of last year, investors are eager to hear the details of any return of capital. The company should initiate a buyback of approximately 5 billion $ and raise its dividend slightly, but it is unlikely that a special dividend will be paid.

Full-year results

African Barrick Gold, Morgan Crucible, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, Temple Bar Investment Trust

Interim results

BHP Billiton, Thorntons

Bargaining update

WS Atkins

Economy

Quarterly bank of England inflation report investigates the confidence of consumers nationwide, UK unemployment

Meetings

Invista real estate European confidence (AGM)

• BAE Systems, large company of defence Europe, is due to a report of the annual results for 2010. Analysts expect the company to announce sales of autour £ 22. 5bn and earnings before interest and tax of £ 2 13bn. Compares to taking £ 22 sales and £ 2 MD gains in 2009. BAE has made a number of acquisitions in the security sector in recent months, and also purchased a business to repair Navy ship of United States, increased maintenance revenues when spending on new equipment is declining.


• Reed Elsevier, publishing and events group, should report pre-tax year-round profits from the words of £ 1 billion on sales of approximately £ 6bn. Company will face questions from analysts about the possibility of the sale of RBI, its arms trade magazine. Lorna Tilbian from Numis, analyst said: we believe that group may reconsider outgoing RBI and also exhibits and redeploy the product risk solutions. We would be supportive of the move, well that do not underestimate the risk of running on the elimination and reinvestment, nor the time that the redesign of the group.

Full-year results

BAE Systems, Ladbrokes, Rathbone brothers, Reed Elsevier

Interim results

Dunelm, Redrow, Town Centre Securities

Bargaining update

Cable & Wireless worldwide, Holidaybreak, Halma, Kingfisher, Sports direct drug International, United, Cfseu, Virgin Media

Economy

CBI industrial trends survey

Meetings

Assured (EGM), easyJet (AGM), United (AGM)

Friday, February 18

• Results - Anglo American are expected to more than double to $9 MD. The company is due to reinstate its dividend at the provisional stage after suspending during the financial crisis. DeBeers diamond belonging to the 45pc operations said last week that he had returned to profit and after diamonds recovered process. Price of diamonds are now above redescendu levels with 53pc growth sales last year.

Full-year results

Anglo American, Charter Rentokil Initial, Sagentia

Interim results

Go-ahead

Bargaining update

Words.

Economy

Trends in the Bank of England in the data, figures for monthly retail loan

Meetings

No announcement

Inflation will be the focus January figures are published on Tuesday and the Bank of England maintains its own forecasts for the path of price increases. The official measure of inflation followed by (ICC), consumer price index should have jumped the cost of oil and other products kept growing.

Consensus forecasts are for prices increased 4pc on the previous year - double the 2pc target rate and a rise on 3 December FP7. The figure will be piling the pressure on makers of the Bank to justify their decision Thursday last to keep interest rates at their low 0 5pc folder for another month.

Quarterly forecast of the Bank for growth and inflation, on Wednesday, will be analysed for clues as to when the rate finally.

Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank says inflation could hit 5MC but made it clear that it considers a rise in rates would be unwise given the weakness of the economy. Others disagree.


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Thursday, 14 April 2011

Week ahead: economic - corporate events on April 11, 2011

Thus Europe's debt crisis, politicians and economists discuss the disorders of the Middle East and the impact of the earthquake of the Japan.

michael Page International coup ads of the week with a commercial statement today. Trade figures for the recruitment firm should provide an indication of the application in the whole of the world economy. The last quarter of 2010 has seen a strong finish to the year with fees net up 31pc year after year.

Results of the year No application

Interim results Carrs milling Industries

Trading update E2V Technologies, Michael Page International, Volex Group

Economy No application

Meetings Henderson Pacific Investment Trust AGM

Alliance Trust will publish its first set of results since tumbling out of the FTSE 100 in March.

Katherine Garrett-Cox, Chief Executive of the company and his management team have been under pressure since a group of activist investors began to build shares in the group. Laxey Partners, a Fund focused on the Isle of Man, sent a letter to the company asking him to start to buy back shares to reduce the discount between its price and the net asset value of the investments of the group.

The letter will be now sent to the shareholders by Alliance Trust ahead of its annual meeting in may, where the Laxey filed resolutions to introduce a "discount mechanism of control" - which would kick in when the company falls below its NAV 90pc.

Investors are also eager to hear punch taverns on details about the plans of the company for two companies - Punch and the spirit.

Speculation is mounting that Ian Dyson, Chief Executive Officer, will continue with the side managed pub business: will Mike Tye Director General.

During this time, Brian Wallace, Director of finance from Ladbrokes and an old associate of Mr. Dyson in their days, at the level of the Hilton group has been tipped as a likely mind President.

Roger Whiteside, Director General of non-compliant rental pubs, is provided at the head of the non-compliant rental division, and Ed Bashforth, Secretary of the company for 36 years, could become Director of Finance of the unit.

Results of the year Alliance Trust

Interim results Punch Taverns

Trading update GKN, Telecity Group

Economy Monitor sales to the British Retail Consortium Retail, RICS housing survey, the numbers of trade UK, March inflation data

Meetings Access Intelligence AGM, JP Morgan Claverhouse Investment Trust AGM, law debenture Corp. AGM, AGM primary health properties,

jd Sports fashion, high street retail group, is supposed to report full-year pre-tax profits of £ 79. 3 m, compared to £ 61. 4 m last year. The group is a retail chain a few running well at this time. The month last end JD offers talks with rival JJB Sports.

Results of the year JD Sports, Styles & Wood Group

Interim results Smiths News

Trading update ASOS, WS Atkins

Economy Unemployment figures

Meetings Anglo Pacific Group AGA, Drax group AGM

WH smith will announce its first half results Thursday. The magazine, stationery and book retailer is expected by analysts to Seymour Pierce to report first half profits before tax of £ 64. 5 m, up to 4 1pc on last year.

Earnings from its high street division is expected to be slightly on the year £ 47 last. 3 m, while its travel division earnings are expected to have increased by £ 25 by 9 FP7. 2 Mr. retailer has had a good recession, and its current performance and sale will be flattered by the disturbance to its shops in airports last year. Kate Calvert, analyst at Seymour Pierce, said: "sales are fairly well known as management issued a reassuring commercial statement in January." High street like-like sales were down FP6 during the week of 21 to 22 January and travel sales as resembling 3pc down, affected by disturbances in the snow. With detail making virtually all its profits on Christmas in the first half, the focus will be on prospects for travel.

She added: "comparable are potentially more low in view of the volcanic ash disruption and the number of strike days BA last year."

Investors will be hoped that Bank of Ireland will provide indications as to whether if the Irish regulator intends to force the holders of bonds in Irish banks to hair cut in the value of their assets.

Last week, Matthew: Elderfield, head of the financial regulations of the Central Bank of the Ireland, refused to exclude from cutting hair for investors in the debt of Anglo Irish Bank and Irish Nationwide Building Society.

Results of the year Systems of Filtration AMIAD, Bank of Ireland, Dori Media, ideal online shopping

Interim results Debenhams, WH Smiths

Trading update Ashmore Group, group Dunelm, Eaga, Filtrona, PZ Cussons

Economy The g-20 finance ministers began their meeting in Washington

Meetings BP AGM, Filtrona AGM, rank group AGA, Smith & Nephew AGM

The market hopes that Ladbrokes will provide an update on its takeover talks with 888 Holdings when the bookmaker he unveils his latest trading figures. Ladbrokes has negotiated with 888 for months and speculation is mounting the deal could fall apart.

Results of the year No application

Interim results No application

Trading update Ladbrokes

Economy No application

Meetings No application


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Tuesday, 12 April 2011

Week ahead: economic - corporate events on April 4, 2011

On the business front, Marks & Spencer will update the market on its fourth business quarter, and the string should have had a difficult time since the beginning of the year.

Analysts expect sales of general merchandise - which is the sale of any food bar - to fell 6 2pc. The range of expectations of sales of 15 analysts of the city, extends from UNMIS 8pc at least 4pc. Food sales are expected to have increased by 1. 3pc, with the range of flat sales to increase sale of 3pc.

Overall, analysts expect global sales fell by 2 5pc.

The negative figure reflect what others have said in recent weeks - that customers are reigning in spending as the household budget get pressed.

But M & S not will not have had as evil as some rivals. Its positioning at the upper end of the market means that it is sheltering some more doubtful rivals have been involved in the update. Clients also have be "trading up" in the clothing of superior quality, which would have contributed to M & S.

Hyder Consulting will provide a commercial upgrade today. Investors will be keen to know if the Middle East business resumed. Updated commercial company, Hyder stated in the Middle East "remains difficult and progress on contract departures are still a bit long".

Results of the year: Dods, Graphite Enterprise Group

Interim results: Nanoco

Trading Update: Hyder Consulting

Economics: The Bank of England housing figures withdrawal of fairness for 2010 Q4, construction PMI

Meetings: XP Power

Porvairfiltration specialist, will update the market on the exchange of rights that it holds its annual shareholder meeting Tuesday. Its results in January of the year, Porvair has posted an increase in profits to £ 3 82pc. 1 m and a 15pc increase revenue to £ 63. 6 m.

At the time, the la compagnie company said that 2011 started well with income in December and January of the previous year and the momentum in the second half of 2010 carrying forward in the new year.

Porvair made equipment of filtration and separation technology of the environment, energy and aviation. In February, he has won an order for nuclear filtration for €600,000 (£ 529,444).

Results of the year: Asia Digital Holdings, International liaison Enquest, Immupharma software

Interim results: No application

Trading Update: Aberforth smaller companies Trust, ING UK, fifteen next Communications, Porvair real estate income trust

Economics: PMI services

Meetings: Scotty Group

TI Misys provider is expected to signal the continuation of the growth of its software banking services. However, statement by the interim leadership of today should be limited details. Sales in the first six months of its fiscal year increased 2pc 161 m £, while operating profit fell 3pc 23 million pounds sterling.

Earlier this year Misys set out plans to return an another £ 145 m, investors sharing the spoils for the sale of the year last health software joint venture Allscripts-Misys. He had already used about 525 m £ the proceeds of the sale of the company, which manages electronic health records for physicians and hospitals, a share buyback scheme.

It is the beginning of the new tax year 2011-2012 and include effective measures of April 6: the inheritance tax threshold frozen at £ 325,000 to 2014-2015. ISA limits indexed annually in line with RPI; and a rate of additional 5MC right stamp for buildings residential purchases on 1 m £.

Results of the year: Prezzo

Interim results: No application

Trading Update: Marks & Spencer, Misys, Robert Walters, XP Power

Economics: Data of industrial production for February, confidence index consumer in throughout the country for March

Meetings: No application

String partsHalfordsbike or by car, will update the market on the trade of the latter. In January, the company said that profit before tax for the year will be at the lower end of market expectations. The company has been hit by the overall consumer spending slowdown that hit most of high street retailers. His recent move into camping equipment could soon reap benefits, even if, as Breton start charting their summer breaks.

Hays, more UK recruitment company, announces three-quarter results. Last month the company downplayed a 36pc fall in income from jobs in the public sector for the six months to December as "ought to". Analysts predict that the group will continue to see opportunities for growth abroad, including Asia. Society is profits before tax of report of 106 m £ in the year to June 30, 2011, according to Credit Switzerland, recovering from 80pc collapse in profits before tax of the previous year. 2010 Figures have been tainted by a £ 30. 4 m fine imposed by the Office of Fair Trading of price fixing, which was reduced to £ 5. 9 m by the Court of appeal of the competition in London last week.

Results of the year: Asterand, Hydrodec

Interim results: No application

Trading Update: Hays, Halfords, Victrex

Economics: ECB interest rates, the decision of rate of the Bank of England, data on the productivity of labour for Q4 2010 announced

Meetings: Scottish American investment

Vedanta issues full-year production figures. Investors will be eager to hear any update on the project to offer to buy Cairn Energy India oil fields. This is because a decision will provide more clarity on the future direction of the structure of the debt of the company and group. The flotation of its unit of Konkola Copper Mines reached the end of last for any comment on it will be important. All the news about the question of whether the company will be granted permission to mine bauxite in Orissa are also noted.

Results of the year: No application

Interim results: No application

Trading Update: Vedanta Resources

Economics: Prices for March

Meetings: No application


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Thursday, 25 November 2010

Week ahead: company results, economic data

Interim results

None announced

Trading update

XP Power

Economics

Markit/CIPS construction PMI, Chancellor George Osborne expected to speak at Tory party conference

Meetings

None announced

Full-year results

Epistem Holdings, St Ives

Interim results

Tesco

Trading update

Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust, British Airways, Northern Foods, Tui Travel

Economics

Markit/CIPS services PMI

Meetings

None announced

• J Sainsbury, the supermarket, will report its second-quarter results on Wednesday. The chain is thought to have had a strong quarter, and analysts expect like-for-like sales to have grown by 2pc compared to 1pc over its first quarter. New store growth is expected to accelerate throughout the year. The retailer should benefit from its South East bias, where it has its highest concentration of stores and where the looming Government cuts will have the least impact.

• Greggs, the sausage roll maker, will update the market on recent trading. The retailer said in August that first-half profits had risen by 12.3pc to £18.6m. However, Ken McMeikan, chief executive, warned that the pressure on the trading environment would increase over the second half of the year as the austerity measures kick in.

• Robert Walters will kick off a round of reporting from recruitment companies on Wednesday, as it updates on third-quarter trading.

At its results for the six months to June 30 e_SEmD issued in August – the white-collar recruiter revealed that it had swung back into the black, recording a pre-tax profit of £5.1m compared to a loss of £2.6m last time. Growth had been boosted by increasing demand in Asia.

Recruitment peers Hays and Michael Page will follow with trading updates on Thursday. At its full-year results in August, Hays revealed a slump in pre-tax profits to £29.7m from £151m the previous year, but said the outlook across 90pc of its markets was continuing to improve.

Ahead of the first-quarter trading update, analysts at Panmure Gordon said in a note last week that comparatives from last year were soft, which should lead to progress in Asia Pacific and Europe. Michael Page will update on third-quarter trading. More than 70pc of the recruiter's gross profits came from overseas markets in the first half of the year. At the time of the half-year update, Steve Ingham, chief executive, said an increase in permanent jobs did show a level of confidence in the market.

Full-year results

Sportingbet

Interim results

None announced

Trading update

J Sainsbury, Marston's, Dunelm, Hays, easyJet, Greggs, Robert Walters

Economics

None scheduled.

Meetings

Adept Telecom (AGM)

• Investors in Marks & Spencer should not expect any big strategic statements from new chief executive Marc Bolland this week. Those are going to be unveiled at the retailer's interim results next month. What observers can expect, however, is an update covering the summer months when trading on the high street was volatile due to the patchy summer weather.

• Ted Baker, the clothing retailer, will report its first-half results. Ray Kelvin, the company's founder and chief executive, said in June that sales had been robust over the first half of its year.

Trading in the UK was strong, and sales in its overseas markets were improving.

• Rank's trading statement will be eagerly watched for signs that bingo admissions are stabilising and that its Mecca Full House concept, aimed at a younger generation of players, is delivering decent returns. Any acceleration of the rebranding of Rank's G Casino format is also likely to be welcomed. Credit Suisse expects full-year pre-tax profits of £53.3m.

Full-year results

Victrex

Interim results

Ted Baker

Trading update

Hays, Halfords, Marks & Spencer, Michael Page, Rank, UK Mail

Economics

Bank of England rate announcement, UK manufacturing, US jobless claims

Meetings

IG Group (AGM)

Full-year results

None announced

Interim results

None announced

Trading update

Cerep

Economics

UK producer prices, US jobs data

Meetings

Dignity Sutton Coldfield (EGM) SIR Terry Leahy, the Tesco chief executive, will oversee his final results at the helm of the UK's biggest supermarket on Tuesday.

He hands over the top job to Phil Clarke in March next year having led the retailer since 1997. It is a tenure that has seen Tesco grow from a largely UK chain to one of the world's biggest retail groups with operations in 14 countries. Analysts expect his last results e_SEmD which will cover the first half of Tesco's financial year e_SEmD to show that sales over the six months to August 28 rose by around 8pc to £30bn while pre-tax profit is expected to be up 3.4pc to £1.6bn.

The retailer's Asian operations will show strong growth, helped over this half by favourable currency movements.

Analysts at broker Jefferies International expect a more "muted" recovery in Central Europe. Tesco's loss-making Fresh & Easy chain in the US is also expected to have remained a drag on profitability. The City expects first half losses of around £80m from the division. Overall, international trading profit is expected to be up 28pc year-on-year. THE Bank of England is expected to keep the base rate at its record low of 0.5pc when the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) announces its decision on Thursday.

Policymaker Andrew Sentance is widely predicted to repeat for a fifth month his call for rates to rise, while his fellow MPC member Adam Posen has just come out in favour of more quantitative easing (QE), presenting the possibility of a three-way split on the MPC over how to manage the fragile economic recovery.

Monday's construction data is expected to show growth is slowing after the second-quarter spike following the harsh winter. The next day's services PMI could prove an indicator of the likelihood of QE, if more weak data suggests the recovery is stalling.

Chancellor George Osborne is expected to address the Tory party faithful in Birmingham on Monday, which could offer some policy insights.


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Monday, 22 November 2010

Investors see silver lining in economic gloom

The ratio varies wildly. In 1970, it was about 20 and it peaked at just under 100 in 1991. The average is around about 40 – and that is the key to any silver bull's argument. Historically, it appears that silver is undervalued in relation to gold, they argue.

In 2010, the ratio has been as high as 72, recorded in February, and is now just below 60. Many believe it could have further to fall.

The reasons for gold's outperformance are well documented – inflationary fears, currency woes and safe-haven demand – but does the declining ratio towards its average mean that silver is going to continue with its charge forward?

Most analysts are not that bullish – with a price of about $24 targeted for next year. There are some, however, that believe the silver price will become much more lustrous over the coming years.

James Turk, who founded bullion dealer GoldMoney in 2001 and manages $1.2bn (£758m) of assets, thinks prices could hit $50 by the end of next year, but accepts that there will be volatility along the way.

Mr Turk believes quantitative easing will devalue currencies and send precious metals much higher.

"Just pick up your newspaper to see what central banks are doing to destroy currencies," Mr Turk says. "Unlike the 1970s, there are no safe havens from currency debasement – such as the deutschemark."

Mr Turk is more bullish on silver than gold. "The problem is the volatility," Mr Turk says. "Essentially it is a cheap form of gold, but it is not for everyone because of the volatility."

He says investors should always buy the physical metal and not paper and advises a portfolio of one-third silver to one-third gold.

Suki Cooper, a precious metals analyst at Barclays Capital is not so bullish. She has an average target for silver next year of $22.2, expecting the metal to peak in the second quarter at an average price of $23.7.

"Silver mine supply is still growing and industrial demand – although improving – remains relatively weak. Silver is still in surplus, but it has benefited form safe-haven buying," Ms Cooper says. "The price could fall sharply if investor interest wanes."

Already investor interest this year is much lower than last year, which is surprising given the recent bull run.

In the current year to date investment inflows into silver have amounted to 1,377 tonnes. In the nine-months to September 2009 it was 2,942 tonnes – with full year 2009 inflows at 4,112 tonnes, Ms Cooper notes.

However, Mr Turk remains unbowed. "I expect the gold-silver ratio to fall back below 23 over the next three-to-five years," he says, despite most analysts thinking this is unlikely.

Precious metals consultancy GFMS also believes that there is a risk of a sharp fall in the silver price.

Silver has risen on gold's coat-tails, but it is also used in industrial processes so it has risen on hopes of a recovery in the global economy too.

Philip Klapwijk, GFMS's chairman, said last week that the absence of an improvement in the economy will be a negative for the silver price.

"If you think gold will continue to advance in the medium term, then why wouldn't silver necessarily follow suit? One reason could be that if economic prospects take a bath, that side of the argument for silver becomes a lot weaker," Mr Klapwijk said.

"In the current situation, silver is benefiting from both general optimism on industrial production in emerging markets, and the investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold," he added.

All of this implies that, on a fundamental basis, silver is looking more toppy than gold at the moment after its recent outpeformance.

Instead of chasing the price of the physical metal, investors may want to invest in silver mining companies that are expanding production, such as the FTSE 100 group Fresnillo.

In the first half of this year, the group's cash cost of production was just $3.58 an ounce – one of the lowest in the industry. It aims to bring on line one new mine or expansion per year until 2014.

Of course the share price will be hit if the silver price falls, but the company will remain highly profitable. But cautious investors may want to wait for a dip before they pile in.

Quantitative easing could boost oil prices

Oil prices could rise by more than a quarter if there is more QE – even if demand stays weak, according to new analysis from Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

The broker's economists expect the Federal Reserve to expand its easing programme by $500bn (£317bn) to $750bn as early as the first quarter of 2011.

If the global money supply expanded at the same pace as this, gold would move 15pc higher and oil prices by 26pc, the broker argues.

This could bring Brent crude oil prices up from an average of $78 a barrel this year to an average of $83 a barrel next year irrespective of demand, Merrill said.

COPPER for delivery in three months hit a two year high on the London Metals Exchange on Friday, following upbeat manufacturing data from China.

The price rose to $8,078 (£5,101) a tonne, the highest level since August 1 2008, but prices eased in the afternoon.

The purchasing managers index rose to 53.8 in September from 51.7 in August, the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said. A figure above 50 indicates expansion.


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