Showing posts with label leaders. Show all posts
Showing posts with label leaders. Show all posts

Monday, 27 February 2012

Portuguese storm gathers as EU leaders fight over Greece

The FTSE 100 fell 1.1pc and Germany's DAX was off 1pc, while the iTraxx Crossover index measuring credit risk in Europe jumped 30 points to 637. Yields on Italian 10-year debt rose 21 points to 6.08pc.

The worries over Portugal continued to mount even as German Chancellor Angela Merkel backed away from demands for a European austerity commissioner to take control of the Greek budget, averting an explosive clash with Athens.

"We don't want controversial talks, but a discussion that is successful for the Greek people," she said, insisting that Germany's plan was just one many of options.

The change of tack came after Berlin's allies in the northern creditor bloc warned such heavy-handed diplomacy had become offensive and breached the spirit of the EU project.

"You never stoop to insults in politics. It solves nothing," said Austria's Chancellor Werner Faymann. Luxembourg's foreign minister Jean Asselborn said it behoves Europe's most powerful state to display a "little more caution", advising Germany to "watch out" as passions grow stronger.

The dispute overshadowed the summit, intended to promote EU growth and tackle youth unemployment – now 22pc Europe-wide and 51pc in Greece. Talk of growth at a time when EU austerity has entrenched severe slumps across southern Europe has left markets bewildered.

While EU leaders fleshed out a German-inspired "fiscal compact" to police the budgets of EMU states, Finland called it "at best unnecessary and at worst harmful" while Luxembourg deemed it a "waste of time". The pact has been weakened, allowing a breach of the new structural deficit limit of 0.5pc of GDP in a wider range of circumstances.

On Monday night, 25 of the 27 EU nations signed up to the fiscal compact, with the Czech prime minister joining the UK in staying outside the deal.

While German calls for an EU commissar for Greece are not new, the aggressive tone of the draft shocked EU veterans. It stipulated that Athens must give "absolute priority to debt service", "transfer national budgetary sovereignty", and agree to terms that make it impossible for Greece to "threaten lenders with default". Furious Greek leaders rejected the terms as debt servitude.

Analysts have questioned whether Germany deliberately called for conditions that Athens cannot accept, perhaps to force Greece's withdrawal from the euro and set an example to others.

The softening of the German stance does not in itself settle the Greek crisis – even assuming Athens agrees soon to a deal with private creditors for debt relief near 70pc. Greece will almost certainly need a further €15bn on top of the €130bn package in force, yet Mrs Merkel has warned that Germany will not provide any further funds.

Jacques Cailloux from RBS said there would be a chain reaction if the troika halts payments and sets in motion a Greek default and exit from EMU.

"That would the disaster scenario. Those who think this could be contained don't know what they are talking about. There would be extraordinary contagion, as we are already seeing in Portugal, spreading back to Spain, Italy, and France," he said.

Citigroup thinks Portugal's economy will contract by 5.7pc this year and 3.5pc next year, replicating the downward spiral seen in Greece as austerity began to bite.

While Portugal has delivered on its promises, the task may be Sisyphean with a combined public and private debt of 360pc of GDP – 100 percentage points higher than in Greece. Grit alone cannot overcome the same chronic lack of competitiveness.

Europe's leaders have vowed that they will not inflict a "haircut" on Portugal's creditors, insisting that Greece is a "special case". The relentless exodus from Portuguese debt suggests that investors do not believe them.


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Monday, 1 August 2011

IMF warns markets "not persuaded" eurozone leaders can resolve the debt crisis and prevent damage to the global economy

The IMF said that despite not "support of the euro Member States and the ECB, market participants remain convinced that a lasting solution is at hand".

"It would be very expensive for the euro area but also for the economy to delay to tackle the crisis of the sovereign,"said Luc Everaert, head of the political area of the IMF European common Euro."


The IMF said that despite not "support of the euro Member States and the ECB, market participants remain convinced that a lasting solution is at hand".


He said in a staff report that the results of any political decision would be "unpredictable" and that the euro-zone needed money more private in support of the "most vulnerable" of his "still-frail banks."


The Fund has recommended that the European financial stability facility (EFSF) have increased in size and allowed to buy debt on the secondary market, as a means to mitigate the threat of contagion of the peripheral States of the euro area.


He also said the indispensable to the adoption of the much stronger economic governance of the euro area. "We need more not less Europe," said Mr. Everaert.


Markets she said Tuesday, and the fears of mounting that politicians cannot resolve the sliding equities sent eurozone debt crisis Monday. The FTSE 100 gained 0. 65pc, the Germany DAX 1. 1pc, France CAC 1. 2pc, the Spain Ibex 1pc and Italy MIB 1. 9pc.


However, traders said the rebound was lowest in the belief that the liquidation were exaggerated and the fear is that jitters on a dangerous rift in Europe, top of the criticism of the euro Thursday the advance on the Greece can trigger falls further.


The Summit should attempt to complete a second round of aid for the Greece, a value of €110bn, but nations are divided on how to structure it and comments of Angela Merkel, German Chancellor Tuesday that the Summit will not be the last step in the resolution of the debt of the Greece crisis did not help sentiment.


The the euro fell against the dollar, after she said in a joint press conference with the President of Russian Dmitry Medvedev: "additional steps will be necessary and not simply a spectacular event that fixes everything." Which takes political responsibility seriously knows that such a dramatic step will not happen. »


To solve the problems of the Greece once and for all, the euro area need to consider options to reduce its debt and increase its competitiveness, said.


"Europe is unthinkable without the euro, and therefore it is worth of effort responsible for really solve the problems in the same root", she said.


Russian President says financial woes of the euro area is not a fault of the euro, but a result he used by countries to the uneven economy.


"The main euro today is a problem that a strong and respectable currency serves the countries with very different levels of the economy, said Medvedev." "It never happened in the history of humanity."


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