Monday 16 May 2011

Traders bet £ 2. 7bn against before banks of the report of the CVI

Part-nationalised Lloyds and Royal Bank of Scotland have fewer shares available to borrow, but there is still a short position that could be as much as ?47m on ?13m on RBS and Lloyds.

The equivalent of 1. the market value of Barclays £ 36 5.3 68pc is "on loan, mainly to cover short positions, in accordance with the data Explorer." The market value of the HSBC £ 118. 5bn, 1. 17pc or. 38bn £ 1 is ready while the figure is 1. 68pc or £ 40 m at Standard Chartered.


Partly nationalized Lloyds and Royal Bank of Scotland have fewer shares available to borrow, but there is still a short position that could be as much as 47 million pounds on the Lloyds and 13 m £ on RBS.


Barclays is more at risk of developing recommendations for the CVI, according to analysts and investors. On a note of 25 possible outcomes, designed by Goldman Sachs, Barclays is to be worst affected by the proposals of the Sir John Vickers ranging from capital requirements higher than the more radical division of sale retail and investment banking services.


Lloyds is then followed by RBS, HSBC and Standard Chartered, according to Goldman.


Separately, Morgan Stanley found that 58pc of investors believe that the shares of Barclays will be the hardest hit of all the banks of the United Kingdom.


Evolution believes an "increase in the funding of the costs seems inevitable" with its analysts saying: "for example, Barclays Capital was around £ billion of debt wholesale - if BarCap financing costs would increase by saying 100 basis for this raisonl points'impact could be £ billion after tax""they have added."


Lloyds Banking Group stands to lose the most if the ICB is trying to reduce the dominance of the big four banks on the retail market. While few expect the commission to require the cancellation of the merger of the HBOS-Lloyds, the Group may be forced to sell part of its branches. Morgan Stanley analysts said that the sale of 1,000 branches can cost Lloyds as 17pc of profits before taxes.


Deutsche Bank, said: "we expect a bold document with disposals and other remaining on the table." Morgan Stanley said he expected the report "most severe and demanding that the final result."


The ICB should offer a degree of "elsewhere" - a change in structure to limit the responsibilities of the British Government for the losses overseas.


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