Monday 4 July 2011

Forget the dollar and gold, here are the real refuge

Increase exposure to the liabilities and the currency of an economic distress flirting with deflation and metal with small utility and less performance resembles a strange response to extreme stress market. Facing the likelihood of increased volatility, I would rather protect with factor that all real investments have in common - a reliable income.

In the long term, the most important element of total yield investor, one is the reinvestment of income.Gains comes and goes, but the constant preparation of dividend coupons and rental income is what truly makes the différence.On can say that it is the difference between the real investment and speculation.

A curio market today is the fact that despite the rate of interest at historic lows in many countries, there is no shortage of income if you know where to look for it. I found it in three places - a you will probably be familiar with is that you probably have a few years ago and you may never have considered.

Familiar source of income is right under the nose of the investors in the United Kingdom and right across Europe - shares of blue-chip corporations. I've recently compared some larger, more reliable corporate dividend yields and was surprised to see that their actions now offer investors an income 2pc, 3pc, 5MC even more than 10 years of their own Governments links.

What Telefonica, National Grid, total, GlaxoSmithkline and telecommunications company KPN, all have in common?They give much more than the debt in the medium term of their respective Governments. In each case the gap between two revenue streams is broader than the average for the past three years, trop.Il has never been a better time to invest in high-performance shares.

This material for two raisons.Tout first, because, in an environment of low interest rates for many investors seek desperately income.If a company big, reliable, often running a utility or quasi-utility in a secure democracy, you get such a decent income, it seems rude to turn your back him these days.

Secondly, there is much evidence that invest in stocks with high performance is a proven means better performance capital secure, too.Worldwide, the top one-fifth of high dividend payers demonstrated at were inventing the market as a whole.

Another area high performance market is one that you have been rather overexposed to the financial crisis hit in 2007 and consequently may have not given much thought to – commercial property.

During the housing boom in the middle of the Decade, rising property prices pushed lower and lower yields until they offered an income value 0 8pc just over on average in Europe as the titles of the gouvernement.Quand believed that back then people had faith in Governments to pay their debts, it was a small premium to compensate the higher risk of failure today, investors earn on average 3 8pc over government bond a higher spread than at any point in the past 10 years.

As with high-efficiency actions, research income is likely to see more and more capital returns hunt these higher, which must in turn underlie des.Comme asset prices shares, too, commercial property offers investors a degree of protection against inflation moresessions four property bull markets since the second world war were guided by inflation and the only the most recent by credit expansion.

A third area in which investors could reasonably find income is as a comparison of risk and historical performance suggests perhaps the most interesting of all - new market debt best publique.Un interpreted in terms of capital since 1993 which shares, shares of emerging markets, commodities and property, emerging market debt continues to provide an income advantage paradise viewed as US Treasury bonds.

When one considers that emerging growth of market are defined surpass markets developed for years to come the last default value in this field was Argentina in 2001 and several so-called Government developed links look like they are junk status, the argument against the emergence on the market gets harder and harder to do.

Perhaps equity income, commercial property and the new market will prove to be the true refuge.

tomrstevenson@fil.com

Tom Stevenson is a Director of Fidelity Investment Managers.Les investment views expressed are his own.


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